My emotions are still too raw and unprocessed to do more than this for now.
An assessment and course correction on my predictions: First, I had a math error. I never got around to posting my state list. What I found as I marked the results on my paper copy last night was that I had misapplied Georgia. Early Sunday I had Georgia in the Obama column, thinking that the unanticipated African-American turnout would subvert the polls. However, late Monday I switched it back to McCain, but forgot to change the math. So, my real prediction was 375 to 163. Assuming Missouri and North Carolina end up the way they are looking now, I will have picked every single state in the country correctly, with the exception of Missouri. Some of you will find that amusing.
My prediction: 375-163
Likely outcome: 364-174
My prediction: 52%-45%
Likely outcome: 53%-46%
Not bad. Better than most of the people who are paid handsomely for their analysis.
I have more to say about where we go from here and what we should talk about next, but I'm still trying to assemble my thoughts. Not to mention the amount of work I need to attend to that has been put off while I followed the campaign.
1 comment:
Man, I hope hope hope you're right and I am wrong about Barrack Obama. For the sake of the country, for my family and yours. Like I said, it's been interesting.
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